NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU UTEP
Points 78.1 65.9
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.4 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 16.2
Points From Free Throws 20.8 13.2
Shooting FAU UTEP
Field Goals Made 25.8 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 49.2 58.3
Field Goal % 52.5% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.2 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 63.2% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 31.1%
Free Throws Made 20.8 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 28.7 19.4
Free Throw % 72.6% 68.0%
Ball Control FAU UTEP
Rebounds 36.9 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 18.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.7
Turnovers 15.4 13.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.7
Steals 7.5 8.9
Fouls 15.3 19.6

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU UTEP
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 70.8
% of Possessions with FAU UTEP
2 Point Attempt 38.1% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.6% 20.3%
Player Fouled 26.7% 20.8%
Turnover 20.9% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 12.1% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU UTEP
Shot Blocked 3.0% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 28.2%