NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE FAU
Points 70.3 83.7
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 41.2
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 28.5
Points From Free Throws 10.7 14.0
Shooting RICE FAU
Field Goals Made 25.9 30.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 61.8
Field Goal % 42.3% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 20.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 10.7 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 19.2
Free Throw % 69.2% 72.6%
Ball Control RICE FAU
Rebounds 33.4 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 11.2
Turnovers 10.5 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.2
Steals 4.4 7.1
Fouls 14.2 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE FAU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 73.7
% of Possessions with RICE FAU
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.4% 20.0%
Turnover 14.7% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE FAU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 32.3%