NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring RICE MILW
Points 78.1 79.7
Total Points   157.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 39.0
Points From 3-Pointers 25.7 27.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 13.6
Shooting RICE MILW
Field Goals Made 27.5 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 65.0
Field Goal % 44.3% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 39.6
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 25.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 14.5 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 18.5
Free Throw % 69.2% 73.5%
Ball Control RICE MILW
Rebounds 36.7 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 13.2
Turnovers 9.3 9.7
Blocked Shots 5.1 4.5
Steals 5.0 5.3
Fouls 13.5 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats RICE MILW
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 76.0
% of Possessions with RICE MILW
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.5% 29.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 18.6%
Turnover 12.8% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken RICE MILW
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 34.2%