NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TEM PENN
Points 73.6 72.3
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 28.2 26.0
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.1
Shooting TEM PENN
Field Goals Made 25.7 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 57.3
Field Goal % 42.5% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 17.3
Free Throw % 70.1% 70.2%
Ball Control TEM PENN
Rebounds 34.8 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 8.5
Turnovers 7.0 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.5 1.8
Steals 5.9 4.4
Fouls 13.3 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: U Penn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TEM PENN
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 68.0
% of Possessions with TEM PENN
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 39.7%
3 Point Attempt 35.0% 32.7%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.1%
Turnover 10.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken TEM PENN
Shot Blocked 3.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 24.8%