NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KENN VCU
Points 64.8 83.2
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 29.2
Points From Free Throws 14.0 21.5
Shooting KENN VCU
Field Goals Made 21.7 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 54.0
Field Goal % 36.3% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 54.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 9.7
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 40.3%
Free Throws Made 14.0 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 27.9
Free Throw % 67.1% 77.2%
Ball Control KENN VCU
Rebounds 32.5 40.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.5 31.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 9.1
Turnovers 11.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.6 4.9
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 18.5 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KENN VCU
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 72.1 71.1
% of Possessions with KENN VCU
2 Point Attempt 39.2% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 28.9%
Player Fouled 21.8% 25.3%
Turnover 15.1% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KENN VCU
Shot Blocked 9.2% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 28.9%