NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU UTSA
Points 88.4 74.3
Total Points   162.7
Points From 2-Pointers 43.5 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.1 27.7
Points From Free Throws 17.8 13.5
Shooting FAU UTSA
Field Goals Made 30.8 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 66.0
Field Goal % 49.4% 39.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.8 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 43.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 17.8 13.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 19.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 71.1%
Ball Control FAU UTSA
Rebounds 40.7 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.4 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.5
Turnovers 8.0 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.9
Steals 5.6 3.9
Fouls 14.1 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: UTSA

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU UTSA
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 77.0 77.6
% of Possessions with FAU UTSA
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 31.7%
Player Fouled 22.5% 18.9%
Turnover 10.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU UTSA
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 29.2%