NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FAU TENN
Points 67.8 80.8
Total Points   148.6
Points From 2-Pointers 29.7 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 27.8
Points From Free Throws 16.7 14.3
Shooting FAU TENN
Field Goals Made 22.0 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 65.1
Field Goal % 38.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.5% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 24.0 25.9
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 16.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 19.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 75.4%
Ball Control FAU TENN
Rebounds 36.1 41.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.4
Turnovers 11.6 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.7 3.5
Steals 5.7 6.5
Fouls 15.0 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Fla Atlantic

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FAU TENN
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 77.4
% of Possessions with FAU TENN
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 29.9%
Player Fouled 22.2% 20.6%
Turnover 16.0% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FAU TENN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 34.2%