NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR MER
Points 77.7 74.5
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 45.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.9 17.9
Points From Free Throws 16.1 10.6
Shooting FUR MER
Field Goals Made 26.5 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 60.9
Field Goal % 45.2% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 22.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.4 44.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.6 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 26.2 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 35.9%
Free Throws Made 16.1 10.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.1 15.6
Free Throw % 72.6% 67.9%
Ball Control FUR MER
Rebounds 36.1 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 9.2
Turnovers 9.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.8
Steals 5.9 5.8
Fouls 12.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR MER
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.9 70.6
% of Possessions with FUR MER
2 Point Attempt 38.9% 54.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 20.5%
Player Fouled 22.1% 17.8%
Turnover 13.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR MER
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 26.4%