NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR CHSO
Points 76.9 66.5
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 36.5
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 18.9
Points From Free Throws 13.4 11.1
Shooting FUR CHSO
Field Goals Made 28.0 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 59.4
Field Goal % 44.7% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 18.2
2 Pointers Attempted 36.1 39.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 13.4 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 15.9
Free Throw % 72.6% 69.7%
Ball Control FUR CHSO
Rebounds 39.1 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 8.7
Turnovers 7.7 10.5
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.1
Steals 5.8 3.6
Fouls 13.3 13.6

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR CHSO
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 69.3
% of Possessions with FUR CHSO
2 Point Attempt 43.6% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 24.6%
Player Fouled 19.2% 18.6%
Turnover 10.9% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 5.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR CHSO
Shot Blocked 5.2% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 23.2%