NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR APP
Points 70.5 81.6
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 51.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 18.1
Points From Free Throws 10.1 11.8
Shooting FUR APP
Field Goals Made 25.7 31.9
Field Goals Attempted 68.4 62.8
Field Goal % 37.6% 50.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 45.2
2 Point Shooting % 42.4% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.8 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 10.1 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 17.0
Free Throw % 72.6% 69.5%
Ball Control FUR APP
Rebounds 35.9 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 32.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 9.0
Turnovers 9.0 9.2
Blocked Shots 2.0 6.8
Steals 6.2 5.4
Fouls 13.8 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR APP
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 75.6 73.4
% of Possessions with FUR APP
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 54.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.0% 21.1%
Player Fouled 15.1% 18.8%
Turnover 12.2% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR APP
Shot Blocked 10.9% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 26.5%