NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FUR AUB
Points 65.2 89.5
Total Points   154.7
Points From 2-Pointers 26.4 50.2
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 22.1
Points From Free Throws 16.9 17.3
Shooting FUR AUB
Field Goals Made 20.5 32.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.6 59.8
Field Goal % 33.8% 54.3%
2 Pointers Made 13.2 25.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 37.6% 63.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 16.9 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 23.1
Free Throw % 72.6% 74.8%
Ball Control FUR AUB
Rebounds 32.8 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 31.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 9.4
Turnovers 11.4 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.9 7.7
Steals 5.8 7.0
Fouls 17.0 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FUR AUB
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.7 74.0
% of Possessions with FUR AUB
2 Point Attempt 39.8% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 23.9%
Player Fouled 21.0% 23.0%
Turnover 15.5% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FUR AUB
Shot Blocked 12.9% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 30.6%