NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU CHAR
Points 64.1 75.7
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.0 22.3
Points From Free Throws 9.8 16.7
Shooting FIU CHAR
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 51.2
Field Goal % 40.2% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.3 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 39.8%
Free Throws Made 9.8 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.1 22.2
Free Throw % 65.0% 75.2%
Ball Control FIU CHAR
Rebounds 29.1 37.1
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.9
Turnovers 10.1 12.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.2
Steals 7.8 5.0
Fouls 16.0 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU CHAR
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 64.9
% of Possessions with FIU CHAR
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 23.8%
Player Fouled 18.9% 23.4%
Turnover 14.7% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 11.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU CHAR
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 31.2%