NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI GRC
Points 66.6 72.9
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 22.0
Points From Free Throws 16.8 18.3
Shooting UNI GRC
Field Goals Made 21.8 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 54.2
Field Goal % 40.2% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.8 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 16.8 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 24.1
Free Throw % 70.8% 76.0%
Ball Control UNI GRC
Rebounds 32.5 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.4
Turnovers 10.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.6
Steals 5.6 7.0
Fouls 17.6 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI GRC
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 69.2
% of Possessions with UNI GRC
2 Point Attempt 44.4% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 27.3%
Player Fouled 24.4% 24.8%
Turnover 15.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI GRC
Shot Blocked 8.6% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 27.7%