NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV TXST
Points 63.2 76.1
Total Points   139.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 44.4
Points From 3-Pointers 10.2 12.2
Points From Free Throws 16.0 19.5
Shooting PV TXST
Field Goals Made 21.9 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.8 49.4
Field Goal % 40.7% 53.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 58.4%
3 Pointers Made 3.4 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 12.0 11.4
3 Point Shooting % 28.3% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 16.0 19.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 27.7
Free Throw % 70.5% 70.3%
Ball Control PV TXST
Rebounds 25.5 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 17.9 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 10.1
Turnovers 12.7 15.5
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.6
Steals 8.7 6.8
Fouls 18.2 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV TXST
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 67.1
% of Possessions with PV TXST
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 14.7% 13.6%
Player Fouled 24.5% 25.1%
Turnover 17.5% 21.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 12.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV TXST
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 36.1%