NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV LOU
Points 66.7 82.0
Total Points   148.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 43.7
Points From 3-Pointers 12.6 15.2
Points From Free Throws 15.3 23.2
Shooting PV LOU
Field Goals Made 23.6 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.5 48.3
Field Goal % 42.5% 55.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 21.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 33.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 64.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 13.5 14.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 15.3 23.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 31.2
Free Throw % 70.5% 74.2%
Ball Control PV LOU
Rebounds 24.1 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 17.1 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.1
Turnovers 12.1 14.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 9.0 5.6
Fouls 20.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV LOU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 67.8
% of Possessions with PV LOU
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 16.5% 17.3%
Player Fouled 23.0% 28.0%
Turnover 16.5% 20.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV LOU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 34.8%