NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV ISU
Points 53.8 87.7
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 30.0 48.0
Points From 3-Pointers 11.0 20.3
Points From Free Throws 12.8 19.4
Shooting PV ISU
Field Goals Made 18.7 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 53.1
Field Goal % 36.7% 57.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 40.9% 65.6%
3 Pointers Made 3.7 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 14.1 16.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.9% 40.8%
Free Throws Made 12.8 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 27.4
Free Throw % 70.5% 70.8%
Ball Control PV ISU
Rebounds 23.6 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 16.1 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 11.0
Turnovers 16.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 4.4
Steals 7.0 9.4
Fouls 19.0 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV ISU
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 62.0 70.5
% of Possessions with PV ISU
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.6% 20.0%
Player Fouled 22.2% 26.7%
Turnover 23.1% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 13.2% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV ISU
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 40.6%