NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PITT WAKE
Points 72.8 71.7
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.0 21.2
Points From Free Throws 12.7 14.3
Shooting PITT WAKE
Field Goals Made 25.5 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 55.0
Field Goal % 42.7% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.3% 54.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.0 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 12.7 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 18.1
Free Throw % 73.0% 79.2%
Ball Control PITT WAKE
Rebounds 34.3 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 6.4
Turnovers 7.7 9.8
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.5
Steals 5.5 4.1
Fouls 15.4 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Wake Forest

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PITT WAKE
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 65.2
% of Possessions with PITT WAKE
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 28.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 22.5%
Turnover 11.3% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PITT WAKE
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 20.2%