NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU GASO
Points 80.8 79.4
Total Points   160.2
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 27.6
Points From Free Throws 18.6 15.1
Shooting GSU GASO
Field Goals Made 27.5 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 62.7
Field Goal % 44.4% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.2% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 28.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 18.6 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 21.2
Free Throw % 75.0% 71.5%
Ball Control GSU GASO
Rebounds 38.1 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.3
Turnovers 8.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.7
Steals 5.0 5.1
Fouls 15.0 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU GASO
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 75.7
% of Possessions with GSU GASO
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 39.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 32.6%
Player Fouled 23.0% 20.3%
Turnover 12.0% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU GASO
Shot Blocked 7.6% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.3% 29.5%