NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU GTWN
Points 80.6 80.6
Total Points   161.2
Points From 2-Pointers 45.4 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 25.4
Points From Free Throws 13.6 19.7
Shooting GSU GTWN
Field Goals Made 29.9 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.1 59.6
Field Goal % 48.9% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 22.7 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.4 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.8% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 13.6 19.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 27.4
Free Throw % 75.0% 72.0%
Ball Control GSU GTWN
Rebounds 32.7 38.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 13.9
Turnovers 8.3 8.6
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.4
Steals 5.1 4.3
Fouls 16.8 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU GTWN
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 76.5
% of Possessions with GSU GTWN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 30.2%
Player Fouled 19.7% 23.7%
Turnover 11.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU GTWN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 36.8%