NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU WIU
Points 61.6 68.4
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 17.5
Points From Free Throws 10.1 13.0
Shooting EIU WIU
Field Goals Made 23.4 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 53.7
Field Goal % 36.7% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 48.2 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 10.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.7 20.9
Free Throw % 73.7% 62.4%
Ball Control EIU WIU
Rebounds 31.4 43.4
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.3
Turnovers 7.2 12.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 5.7
Steals 7.8 3.8
Fouls 16.0 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: W Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU WIU
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.0 67.4
% of Possessions with EIU WIU
2 Point Attempt 59.8% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 20.5%
Player Fouled 16.5% 23.5%
Turnover 10.6% 18.9%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 11.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU WIU
Shot Blocked 10.8% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 36.8%