NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV LMU
Points 63.8 81.0
Total Points   144.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.1 41.8
Points From 3-Pointers 10.8 23.4
Points From Free Throws 13.0 15.8
Shooting PV LMU
Field Goals Made 23.6 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 53.7
Field Goal % 39.9% 53.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 47.2 33.7
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 62.0%
3 Pointers Made 3.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 12.0 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 39.0%
Free Throws Made 13.0 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 21.5
Free Throw % 70.5% 73.7%
Ball Control PV LMU
Rebounds 25.5 41.0
Rebounds - Defensive 17.5 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 10.6
Turnovers 7.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.4
Steals 6.6 3.2
Fouls 15.8 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola Mymt

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV LMU
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 67.4
% of Possessions with PV LMU
2 Point Attempt 60.0% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 15.2% 24.6%
Player Fouled 22.3% 22.8%
Turnover 10.8% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 4.6% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV LMU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 37.7%