NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU LNDNWD
Points 70.4 63.2
Total Points   133.6
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 14.0
Points From Free Throws 14.1 16.3
Shooting EIU LNDNWD
Field Goals Made 25.2 21.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 50.7
Field Goal % 44.5% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 15.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 14.1 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 22.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 72.6%
Ball Control EIU LNDNWD
Rebounds 34.3 32.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 7.3
Turnovers 9.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.7
Steals 6.7 4.5
Fouls 17.8 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU LNDNWD
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 64.0
% of Possessions with EIU LNDNWD
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 21.6% 20.4%
Player Fouled 20.6% 25.8%
Turnover 13.7% 17.6%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU LNDNWD
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.5% 22.1%