NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PITT SYR
Points 79.6 70.6
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 31.7 18.7
Points From Free Throws 11.2 13.9
Shooting PITT SYR
Field Goals Made 29.0 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.4 55.6
Field Goal % 45.6% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.0 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 19.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 11.2 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 19.1
Free Throw % 73.0% 72.8%
Ball Control PITT SYR
Rebounds 38.9 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 6.1
Turnovers 9.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.3
Steals 5.7 6.0
Fouls 14.1 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Pittsburgh

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PITT SYR
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 66.4
% of Possessions with PITT SYR
2 Point Attempt 43.0% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 24.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.1%
Turnover 13.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PITT SYR
Shot Blocked 6.1% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.0% 18.6%