NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP FAU
Points 76.8 83.1
Total Points   159.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 18.4
Points From Free Throws 16.6 20.0
Shooting HP FAU
Field Goals Made 26.3 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 62.2 58.1
Field Goal % 42.2% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 56.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 16.6 20.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 27.5
Free Throw % 77.9% 72.6%
Ball Control HP FAU
Rebounds 36.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 10.1
Turnovers 10.1 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.1 2.7
Steals 3.9 5.2
Fouls 18.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP FAU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 74.8
% of Possessions with HP FAU
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 21.8%
Player Fouled 22.3% 25.1%
Turnover 13.8% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP FAU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 33.6% 29.6%