NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV GSU
Points 69.6 85.7
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 41.1 46.6
Points From 3-Pointers 11.3 21.9
Points From Free Throws 17.1 17.1
Shooting PV GSU
Field Goals Made 24.3 30.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.5 58.2
Field Goal % 40.9% 52.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 23.3
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 61.0%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 20.0
3 Point Shooting % 26.6% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 17.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 22.8
Free Throw % 70.5% 75.0%
Ball Control PV GSU
Rebounds 30.4 39.5
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.9
Turnovers 9.4 11.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.5
Steals 6.6 4.7
Fouls 16.4 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV GSU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 72.3
% of Possessions with PV GSU
2 Point Attempt 53.4% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 16.8% 23.5%
Player Fouled 24.0% 22.2%
Turnover 12.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV GSU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 32.1%