NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU MILW
Points 70.1 81.1
Total Points   151.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 21.5
Points From Free Throws 13.5 18.1
Shooting EIU MILW
Field Goals Made 25.2 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 64.7 56.3
Field Goal % 39.0% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 45.5 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.0% 59.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 21.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 13.5 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 24.6
Free Throw % 73.7% 73.5%
Ball Control EIU MILW
Rebounds 32.4 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.9
Turnovers 8.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 5.0
Steals 6.6 4.2
Fouls 17.7 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Milwkee

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU MILW
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 71.3
% of Possessions with EIU MILW
2 Point Attempt 53.1% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 25.1%
Player Fouled 19.1% 24.5%
Turnover 11.7% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU MILW
Shot Blocked 9.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.4% 34.1%