NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU MURR
Points 63.2 75.5
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.3 40.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 20.8
Points From Free Throws 9.8 14.0
Shooting EIU MURR
Field Goals Made 23.5 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 52.3
Field Goal % 41.2% 52.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 61.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.6 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 9.8 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.3 20.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 68.9%
Ball Control EIU MURR
Rebounds 29.2 34.6
Rebounds - Defensive 21.0 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 7.6
Turnovers 9.8 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 5.4 4.8
Fouls 15.8 12.1

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU MURR
Total Possessions 66.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 64.6
% of Possessions with EIU MURR
2 Point Attempt 50.4% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 25.2%
Player Fouled 18.2% 23.7%
Turnover 14.7% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU MURR
Shot Blocked 6.7% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 26.7%