NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU ULL
Points 74.5 79.0
Total Points   153.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 44.0
Points From 3-Pointers 16.1 19.2
Points From Free Throws 15.5 15.8
Shooting GSU ULL
Field Goals Made 26.8 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 63.6
Field Goal % 44.6% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 22.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 40.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 27.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 15.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 21.5
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.6%
Ball Control GSU ULL
Rebounds 35.9 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.2
Turnovers 10.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.9
Steals 4.8 6.2
Fouls 15.3 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU ULL
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 76.8
% of Possessions with GSU ULL
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 46.5%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 26.8%
Player Fouled 20.7% 20.8%
Turnover 14.5% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU ULL
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 32.0%