NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU URI
Points 79.4 79.0
Total Points   158.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 40.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.8 19.6
Points From Free Throws 12.6 18.5
Shooting GSU URI
Field Goals Made 29.4 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 56.8
Field Goal % 45.2% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 36.1
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 56.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 27.9
Free Throw % 75.0% 66.1%
Ball Control GSU URI
Rebounds 34.0 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.7
Turnovers 6.8 9.4
Blocked Shots 4.0 2.9
Steals 4.9 3.7
Fouls 17.8 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Rhode Island

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU URI
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.0 73.5
% of Possessions with GSU URI
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 24.6%
Player Fouled 19.3% 24.6%
Turnover 9.4% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU URI
Shot Blocked 5.2% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 30.4%