NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV FAMU
Points 70.8 70.1
Total Points   140.9
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 14.9
Points From Free Throws 17.1 13.0
Shooting PV FAMU
Field Goals Made 24.6 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 52.9
Field Goal % 43.3% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 38.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 14.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.7% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 17.1 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 19.1
Free Throw % 70.5% 68.1%
Ball Control PV FAMU
Rebounds 29.8 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.3
Turnovers 10.7 17.3
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.0
Steals 9.1 5.3
Fouls 15.1 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV FAMU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 65.4
% of Possessions with PV FAMU
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 16.9%
Player Fouled 24.4% 20.6%
Turnover 14.5% 23.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 12.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV FAMU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 30.7%