NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU UTSA
Points 77.7 83.9
Total Points   161.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.1 32.9
Points From Free Throws 11.6 17.3
Shooting FIU UTSA
Field Goals Made 28.1 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 65.0 61.4
Field Goal % 43.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 11.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 41.7%
Free Throws Made 11.6 17.3
Free Throws Attempted 17.8 24.3
Free Throw % 65.0% 71.1%
Ball Control FIU UTSA
Rebounds 32.2 45.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 31.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 14.0
Turnovers 9.3 13.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.3
Steals 7.5 4.6
Fouls 15.7 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: UTSA

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU UTSA
Total Possessions 75.5
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 76.5
% of Possessions with FIU UTSA
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 38.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 28.6%
Player Fouled 18.9% 20.8%
Turnover 12.3% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU UTSA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 37.7%