NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP WEBB
Points 79.9 72.5
Total Points   152.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.2 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 19.2
Points From Free Throws 21.9 15.4
Shooting HP WEBB
Field Goals Made 25.7 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 58.5
Field Goal % 45.3% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.2 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 17.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 21.9 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 28.1 25.0
Free Throw % 77.9% 61.5%
Ball Control HP WEBB
Rebounds 40.1 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 9.7
Turnovers 9.4 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.2
Steals 4.4 4.2
Fouls 16.7 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP WEBB
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 73.4
% of Possessions with HP WEBB
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 49.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 20.9%
Player Fouled 26.8% 23.0%
Turnover 13.0% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP WEBB
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.1% 25.2%