NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP SCUS
Points 82.0 69.4
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.9 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 18.4
Points From Free Throws 25.2 13.1
Shooting HP SCUS
Field Goals Made 25.1 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 57.3
Field Goal % 46.5% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.6 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 25.2 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 32.4 20.4
Free Throw % 77.9% 64.0%
Ball Control HP SCUS
Rebounds 42.9 26.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 19.4
Rebounds - Offensive 13.6 7.1
Turnovers 10.6 9.0
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 4.6 4.9
Fouls 16.6 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP SCUS
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 69.2
% of Possessions with HP SCUS
2 Point Attempt 38.8% 48.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 23.7%
Player Fouled 27.9% 23.3%
Turnover 14.8% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP SCUS
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 41.3% 19.5%