NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU MRSH
Points 76.2 76.0
Total Points   152.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 37.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 24.4
Points From Free Throws 13.2 14.5
Shooting GSU MRSH
Field Goals Made 27.6 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 65.1 65.7
Field Goal % 42.4% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 27.9
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 13.2 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 20.2
Free Throw % 75.0% 71.7%
Ball Control GSU MRSH
Rebounds 39.4 42.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.7 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 12.6
Turnovers 8.8 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.4
Steals 4.9 5.5
Fouls 14.4 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU MRSH
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.1 78.4
% of Possessions with GSU MRSH
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 31.8%
Player Fouled 18.4% 19.4%
Turnover 11.9% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU MRSH
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 29.8%