NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU TROY
Points 77.0 80.6
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 23.7
Points From Free Throws 15.5 21.1
Shooting GSU TROY
Field Goals Made 27.1 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 60.0
Field Goal % 45.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.2 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.4% 31.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 21.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.6 28.7
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.4%
Ball Control GSU TROY
Rebounds 34.4 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 24.9 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 13.6
Turnovers 11.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.4
Steals 5.6 7.9
Fouls 17.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU TROY
Total Possessions 74.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.8 77.9
% of Possessions with GSU TROY
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 39.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.7% 28.2%
Player Fouled 21.5% 23.0%
Turnover 14.9% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 10.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU TROY
Shot Blocked 5.8% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 35.4%