NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SPU STJOE
Points 61.9 71.5
Total Points   133.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.2 24.1
Points From Free Throws 13.7 16.0
Shooting SPU STJOE
Field Goals Made 21.0 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 53.5
Field Goal % 36.6% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.9% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.0 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 13.7 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 22.3
Free Throw % 71.2% 71.9%
Ball Control SPU STJOE
Rebounds 35.8 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.5
Turnovers 11.3 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.5
Steals 6.1 6.1
Fouls 17.2 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SPU STJOE
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 66.5
% of Possessions with SPU STJOE
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 37.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.0% 29.5%
Player Fouled 20.7% 25.1%
Turnover 16.5% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken SPU STJOE
Shot Blocked 8.6% 9.5%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 29.0%