NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU WMU
Points 78.8 69.0
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.7 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 24.1
Points From Free Throws 14.5 12.1
Shooting YSU WMU
Field Goals Made 27.7 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 65.6 60.7
Field Goal % 42.2% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 44.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.5 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 19.7
Free Throw % 75.3% 61.5%
Ball Control YSU WMU
Rebounds 41.3 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 12.5
Turnovers 8.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.6
Steals 6.1 3.9
Fouls 15.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: W Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU WMU
Total Possessions 72.8
Effective Scoring Chances 77.7 73.5
% of Possessions with YSU WMU
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.9% 27.2%
Player Fouled 20.7% 21.6%
Turnover 11.4% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU WMU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.6% 30.7%