NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU OAK
Points 82.8 81.3
Total Points   164.2
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 26.9
Points From Free Throws 10.9 13.6
Shooting YSU OAK
Field Goals Made 31.1 29.4
Field Goals Attempted 66.8 61.2
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 36.4
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.4 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 10.9 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 18.9
Free Throw % 74.1% 72.1%
Ball Control YSU OAK
Rebounds 38.1 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 10.8
Turnovers 10.8 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.6 1.7
Steals 4.8 6.9
Fouls 15.8 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU OAK
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 77.0 73.5
% of Possessions with YSU OAK
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 32.1% 29.1%
Player Fouled 16.7% 21.5%
Turnover 14.6% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU OAK
Shot Blocked 2.8% 2.5%
Offensive Rebound 37.0% 31.0%