NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU WIU
Points 73.0 64.8
Total Points   137.8
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 18.2
Points From Free Throws 11.9 11.9
Shooting YSU WIU
Field Goals Made 27.0 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 67.3 61.4
Field Goal % 40.1% 38.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 43.7 43.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.5% 40.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 33.4%
Free Throws Made 11.9 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 19.0
Free Throw % 75.3% 62.4%
Ball Control YSU WIU
Rebounds 40.2 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 14.2
Turnovers 7.1 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.5
Steals 6.4 3.9
Fouls 14.4 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU WIU
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.4 73.3
% of Possessions with YSU WIU
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 20.9%
Player Fouled 18.4% 20.5%
Turnover 10.1% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU WIU
Shot Blocked 7.4% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.8% 34.3%