NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU PFW
Points 75.8 74.0
Total Points   149.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 24.6 28.0
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.1
Shooting YSU PFW
Field Goals Made 26.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 61.0 63.1
Field Goal % 43.7% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 45.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 16.9
Free Throw % 75.3% 71.8%
Ball Control YSU PFW
Rebounds 42.0 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 31.5 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 7.5
Turnovers 12.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.9
Steals 5.0 7.1
Fouls 14.3 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU PFW
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 72.5
% of Possessions with YSU PFW
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 30.6%
Player Fouled 20.3% 19.2%
Turnover 16.3% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU PFW
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.5% 19.1%