NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU AKR
Points 70.8 71.2
Total Points   141.9
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 21.5 23.2
Points From Free Throws 12.6 14.3
Shooting YSU AKR
Field Goals Made 25.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.6 58.1
Field Goal % 40.7% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.8 19.6
Free Throw % 75.3% 72.9%
Ball Control YSU AKR
Rebounds 38.3 37.2
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 28.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 8.9
Turnovers 8.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.8
Steals 5.0 4.1
Fouls 16.2 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU AKR
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 69.7
% of Possessions with YSU AKR
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 29.3%
Player Fouled 21.6% 22.9%
Turnover 12.3% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU AKR
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 24.7%