NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON FLA
Points 68.1 94.0
Total Points   162.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 49.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 27.6
Points From Free Throws 15.1 17.0
Shooting ELON FLA
Field Goals Made 22.9 33.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.2 65.3
Field Goal % 38.7% 52.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 60.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 37.9%
Free Throws Made 15.1 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 23.2
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.2%
Ball Control ELON FLA
Rebounds 28.6 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.5 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 15.5
Turnovers 10.9 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 6.3
Steals 5.5 6.5
Fouls 15.4 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Florida

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON FLA
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 80.3
% of Possessions with ELON FLA
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 27.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.0%
Turnover 14.9% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON FLA
Shot Blocked 9.7% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 44.3%