NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON NE
Points 67.0 74.6
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.8 21.3
Points From Free Throws 11.8 11.0
Shooting ELON NE
Field Goals Made 23.2 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 57.2
Field Goal % 43.5% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 29.4 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 11.8 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 15.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.5%
Ball Control ELON NE
Rebounds 28.4 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.0
Turnovers 11.3 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.7
Steals 5.7 6.1
Fouls 12.5 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Elon

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON NE
Total Possessions 66.8
Effective Scoring Chances 63.6 67.3
% of Possessions with ELON NE
2 Point Attempt 38.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.3% 27.8%
Player Fouled 21.0% 18.8%
Turnover 16.9% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON NE
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.7% 35.3%