NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB INDPU
Points 78.1 65.4
Total Points   143.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 42.8
Points From 3-Pointers 28.5 8.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 14.4
Shooting WIGB INDPU
Field Goals Made 27.9 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.2
Field Goal % 52.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 27.9 41.1
2 Point Shooting % 65.7% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.5 2.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 12.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.2% 22.5%
Free Throws Made 12.9 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.0 19.9
Free Throw % 71.5% 72.7%
Ball Control WIGB INDPU
Rebounds 32.7 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 19.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 8.3
Turnovers 12.0 10.7
Blocked Shots 2.0 2.6
Steals 4.7 6.6
Fouls 15.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: IUPUI

Expected Effect: +1.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB INDPU
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 65.6
% of Possessions with WIGB INDPU
2 Point Attempt 35.9% 53.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.8% 15.7%
Player Fouled 22.7% 22.4%
Turnover 17.6% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB INDPU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 25.6%