NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB YSU
Points 69.7 76.2
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 29.3 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 28.0 21.8
Points From Free Throws 12.3 15.0
Shooting WIGB YSU
Field Goals Made 24.0 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 61.3
Field Goal % 41.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 14.7 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 31.0 36.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 12.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 20.0
Free Throw % 71.5% 75.3%
Ball Control WIGB YSU
Rebounds 33.9 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 11.3
Turnovers 10.5 7.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 6.3
Steals 3.5 5.3
Fouls 15.8 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Grn Bay

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB YSU
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 73.8
% of Possessions with WIGB YSU
2 Point Attempt 38.6% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 30.3%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.7%
Turnover 15.1% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB YSU
Shot Blocked 10.4% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 30.5%