NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB WRST
Points 80.0 85.3
Total Points   165.3
Points From 2-Pointers 36.3 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 31.5 17.1
Points From Free Throws 12.2 16.8
Shooting WIGB WRST
Field Goals Made 28.6 31.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 57.3
Field Goal % 49.5% 54.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 30.1 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 61.6%
3 Pointers Made 10.5 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 15.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 12.2 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.0 22.2
Free Throw % 71.5% 75.6%
Ball Control WIGB WRST
Rebounds 29.0 31.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.7
Turnovers 11.1 8.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 3.1
Steals 4.5 5.6
Fouls 17.3 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Grn Bay

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB WRST
Total Possessions 71.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 70.8
% of Possessions with WIGB WRST
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 52.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.6% 19.5%
Player Fouled 19.5% 24.1%
Turnover 15.4% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB WRST
Shot Blocked 5.4% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 26.4%