NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON STON
Points 68.6 77.1
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 25.9 38.8
Points From 3-Pointers 29.9 26.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 12.3
Shooting ELON STON
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 59.4
Field Goal % 39.4% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 12.9 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.6 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.6% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 10.0 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 12.8 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 16.9
Free Throw % 68.8% 72.8%
Ball Control ELON STON
Rebounds 34.2 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 10.0
Turnovers 9.7 8.8
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.1
Steals 5.5 5.4
Fouls 13.1 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Elon

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON STON
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.5 70.2
% of Possessions with ELON STON
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 35.4% 29.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 18.9%
Turnover 14.1% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON STON
Shot Blocked 5.3% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 29.3%