NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON TOWS
Points 61.1 73.4
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 25.5 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 22.5
Points From Free Throws 12.6 12.6
Shooting ELON TOWS
Field Goals Made 20.4 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.3 59.2
Field Goal % 39.0% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 12.7 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 29.8 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 42.7% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 12.6 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.0
Free Throw % 68.8% 66.3%
Ball Control ELON TOWS
Rebounds 28.0 42.9
Rebounds - Defensive 19.7 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.3 16.6
Turnovers 10.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.9
Steals 5.4 5.8
Fouls 12.6 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Towson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON TOWS
Total Possessions 65.5
Effective Scoring Chances 63.0 72.3
% of Possessions with ELON TOWS
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 26.5%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.3%
Turnover 16.5% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON TOWS
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 45.7%