NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WIGB CLEVST
Points 69.2 73.0
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 24.1 15.3
Points From Free Throws 13.9 13.2
Shooting WIGB CLEVST
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.0 59.9
Field Goal % 43.7% 45.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 22.2
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 42.2
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.5 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 28.8%
Free Throws Made 13.9 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 20.1
Free Throw % 71.5% 65.8%
Ball Control WIGB CLEVST
Rebounds 34.3 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 11.1
Turnovers 11.6 7.0
Blocked Shots 1.7 5.3
Steals 3.1 6.7
Fouls 14.8 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland St

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WIGB CLEVST
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.4 72.3
% of Possessions with WIGB CLEVST
2 Point Attempt 34.8% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 33.5% 22.1%
Player Fouled 23.1% 21.8%
Turnover 17.0% 10.2%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 4.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken WIGB CLEVST
Shot Blocked 8.9% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 30.3%