NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ELON GT
Points 65.7 82.7
Total Points   148.4
Points From 2-Pointers 26.9 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 30.1
Points From Free Throws 12.7 12.3
Shooting ELON GT
Field Goals Made 22.2 30.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 61.6
Field Goal % 37.4% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 13.4 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 34.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 58.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 27.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 12.7 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 16.7
Free Throw % 68.8% 73.6%
Ball Control ELON GT
Rebounds 30.8 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 21.1 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 12.9
Turnovers 8.9 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.4
Steals 5.5 4.3
Fouls 13.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Elon

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ELON GT
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 72.7
% of Possessions with ELON GT
2 Point Attempt 38.7% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 34.9% 32.8%
Player Fouled 19.8% 19.1%
Turnover 12.8% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ELON GT
Shot Blocked 7.1% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 37.9%